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2024-12-13 16:47:42

EIA: The net import of crude oil in the United States will drop by 20% in 2025. The us energy information administration (EIA) said on Tuesday that it is expected that the net import of crude oil in the United States will drop by 20% to 1.9 million barrels per day next year, which will be the lowest level since 1971, suggesting that the output of the United States will increase and the demand of refineries will decrease. EIA said in its Short-term Energy Outlook in December that the US oil production is expected to increase from 13.24 million barrels per day in 2024 to 13.52 million barrels per day in 2025. EIA also said that the crude oil processing capacity of refineries will be 16 million barrels per day in 2025, a decrease of 200,000 barrels per day compared with 2024. EIA now predicts that the average spot price of Brent crude oil in 2025 will be $73.58 per barrel, which is lower than the previous forecast of $76.06 per barrel. The average spot price of crude oil in the United States is $69.12 per barrel, which is lower than the last forecast of $71.60 per barrel.CF40 Research: Three Channels to Expand Domestic Demand. An article published by Guan Wei of China Financial Forty Forum (CF40) pointed out that the expansion of total demand, whether it is to expand consumption or investment demand, should be implemented on credit growth. When credit goes up, residents, enterprises and governments have more money in their pockets, so do expenditures and incomes, as well as profits and investments. At present, there are three main ways to expand credit: first, fiscal policy is exerted and the government borrows money; Second, the monetary policy will exert its strength and reduce the policy interest rate; The third is to stabilize the real estate market, and there can be no further sharp decline. In terms of finance, maintain the intensity of fiscal expenditure in a broad sense, and moderately increase the fiscal deficit to 4% in 2025. In terms of monetary policy, we should take reducing the real interest rate as an important goal, continue to implement "strong interest rate reduction", and timely reduce the interest rate of structural monetary policy tools below the policy interest rate level. In terms of the property market, it will ease the current cash flow pressure faced by real estate enterprises and promote the real estate to stop falling and stabilize from both ends of supply and demand.The listing in Hong Kong heats up. Many listed companies have started the "A+H" mode, and the policy warm wind is blowing frequently. More and more A-share companies are planning to issue H shares and start the "A+H" dual-capital operation platform mode. According to incomplete statistics, at least seven A-share companies have disclosed plans to issue H-shares this year. Since December alone, Hengrui Pharma, Junsheng Electronics and other listed companies have announced plans to go public in Hong Kong. Previously, Midea Group, SF Holdings and other leading A-share companies have successfully listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. Zhang Shujian, head and managing director of the capital market department of Futeng Capital, believes that the "A+H" model increases the flexibility of listing financing by building a platform for listing in two places, and at the same time introduces international long-term investors, which is conducive to optimizing the shareholder structure. In addition, since the beginning of this year, the China Securities Regulatory Commission and the Exchange have issued relevant policies to support A-share companies to go public in Hong Kong, which has driven this round of "A+H" craze. (SSE)


White sugar futures fell by about 3%, Arabica coffee rose by over 4.5%, and new york cocoa rose by about 6%, which continued to hit a record high. In late new york on Tuesday (December 10th), ICE raw sugar futures fell by 2.00% and ICE white sugar futures fell by 2.97%. ICE Arabica coffee futures rose 4.53% to 347.35 cents/pound; Coffee "C" futures rose 0.26% to 334.05 cents, having risen to 348.35 cents at 19:52 Beijing time. Robusta coffee futures rose 0.35% to 5218, and rose to 5510 at 17:25. New york cocoa futures rose 5.99% to $10,685/ton, continuing to hit a record high. London cocoa futures rose 4.00% to 8420,00: 01, and also rose to 8471 to continue to hit a record high. ICE cotton futures fell 0.66% to 69.49 cents. When the US Department of Agriculture (USDA) released the monthly inventory report, the refresh date was as low as 69.25 cents at 01:00.The Prime Minister of Qatar and the US Secretary of State discussed the situation in Syria and the conflict in Gaza by telephone. On December 10th, local time, the Prime Minister and Foreign Minister of Qatar talked with the US Secretary of State Blinken by telephone, focusing on the situation in Syria and the conflict in Gaza and other regional issues. The two sides stated that it is necessary to promote an inclusive political process and achieve a peaceful transfer of power in accordance with UN Security Council Resolution 2254. All parties in Syria should also strengthen efforts to protect civilians and fight terrorism. The two sides also exchanged views on the latest situation in the Gaza Strip and the progress of relevant negotiations.Market information: US President Biden plans to formally prevent Nippon Steel (Nippon Steel) from acquiring American steel companies. US Steel (X) triggered an intraday fuse and fell 8.8% before trading was suspended.


Trump said that he chose Andrew Feargus, Commissioner of the US Federal Trade Commission (FTC), as the FTC chairman.US President Biden made a speech on the latest developments in Syria. US President Biden said that the collapse of the Assad regime is a historic opportunity for the Syrian people, and they can build a better future for their country. This is also a moment full of risks and uncertainties. Biden said: "When we all turn to the next step, the United States will cooperate with our partners and stakeholders in Syria to help them seize the opportunity to manage risks."Ferrari CEO: Some parts of electric vehicles will be produced within the company, and other parts will be produced through strategic partners.

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